Forecasts
Your electricity weather forecast for a sustainable energy use
Caption
Normal use. Energy-saving actions are welcome
Electricity system under strain. Orange energy alert activated. Energy-saving actions are necessary
Electricity system under severe strain. Red energy alert activated. Power cuts inevitable if no reduction in electricity use. Energy-saving actions are essential
Essential actions in case of red or orange alerts
Daily energy-saving actions with
Weekly analysis of electricity use in Monaco.
In the unprecedented context of the energy crisis and following the initial feedback on electricity use in the Principality of Monaco, released at the beginning of 2023, SMEG wished to provide Monegasques with a weekly analysis of trends in electricity use.
For several years now, SMEG has been using various algorithms to fine-tune its electricity use analysis per customer segment based on a wide range of criteria: day of week, month, time of day and outside temperature.
SMEG has therefore decided to publish the results of these analyses of the Principality's overall electricity use on a weekly basis.
With the return of fine weather, load shedding is no longer an issue, but network strains and the challenges of energy management will persist throughout the summer. All the more so as the weather forecasts predict a very hot, dry summer, which will mean greater use of air conditioning. We urge residents and businesses to be extremely vigilant in this respect.
Last update 19/04/2023
Result: Electricity use in the Principality of Monaco (adjusted for weather* and calendar* effects) is down compared with the average for previous years (2015-2019, excluding the health crisis).
-9.01%
Analysis over the past 4 weeks* | -10.12%
Analysis over the past week* |
Trend: The overall downward trend has continued since the start of the year.
Figures are given based on use recorded over the same period in previous years (2015-2019, excluding the health crisis).
Daily use trends
Over the period from 24-02-2023 to 24-03-2023, electricity use corrected for normal temperatures and calendar effects and on a like-for-like basis, dropped by 9.01% compared with use over the same period in previous years (2015-2019, excluding the health crisis).
Over the period from 17-03-2023 to 24-03-2023, electricity use corrected for normal temperatures and calendar effects and on a like-for-like basis, is down 10.12% compared with use over the same period in previous years.
It is now well established that this drop concerns all sectors of activity. What's more, it's not just a matter of eco-actions, but also of investing in more efficient equipment in businesses and private homes, and of being more vigilant about excessive use, with the possible impact of higher energy bills.
The mobilisation of all Monegasques for the energy management plan plays an important role.
Average daily temperature trends
March was a warmer month, with temperatures well above seasonal averages. Temperature peaks even above 15°C were recorded between 27 and 29 March 2023.
Why this service?
Why this "Electricity Weather Forecast"?
SMEG helps its customers use electricity more efficiently.
In Monaco, electricity demand is at its highest in the summer due to the use of air conditioning. However, winter is the period when electricity use has the greatest impact on the electricity system, and alongside its positive effect on the environment, reducing electricity use also reduces the risk of power cuts.
The electricity system is interconnected at the European level. To secure power supply, the generation resources connected to the network must be sufficient to cover consumer needs at all times. If all the resources have already been activated, the only way to keep the electricity network working is to control electricity use. The behaviour of consumers is therefore essential, as they can have a major impact on their own use, for example by lowering their heating temperature. Efforts must be made simultaneously at the European level, including the Principality.
To anticipate strain situations and enable consumers to take the right steps to reduce their use at the right time, SMEG provides strain forecasts on the electricity network: this is the Electricity Weather Forecast.
In practical terms, green, orange or red signals are produced a few days in advance and published on this page, showing the level of strain on the electricity system.
How does it work?
How are the signals calculated?
The green signal is the default signal. It means that the level of electricity use is lower than the electricity generation available for the day, and that we have sufficient spare capacity.
The orange signal is calculated according to the spare capacity available. It is activated when electricity reserves are low, i.e. when available electricity generation is very close to the expected level of use. All levers must be deployed to reduce electricity demand in order to maintain sufficient supply capacity. If demand continues to rise, the supply capacity may no longer be sufficient and the red signal could be activated.The red signal is activated when there is not enough electricity to cover all the needs. The operators of the European electricity network anticipate the level of electricity use for the next few days and, at the same time, the level of available generated electricity.
When red signals are activated, reducing use is essential. In the rare event that all electricity needs cannot be met, local, controlled power cuts lasting a maximum of 2 hours may be organised, from 8am to 1pm or 6pm to 8pm on weekdays.
SMEG will then provide its customers with all the information they need in real time to prepare for this situation.In addition, it is important to be aware that even on a green signal, limiting electricity use is essential to preserve resources.
Why are signals published for only 4 days?
After 4 days, the level of electricity use cannot be predicted with any accuracy, because the weather is still uncertain. Every change in temperature, however slight, has a major impact on energy consumption. In winter, for each degree colder, electricity use in Europe rises significantly. In France, for example, one degree colder represents an increase equivalent to the entire consumption of the city of Marseille.